Press Release – Roy Morgan Research
ANZ-Roy Morgan NZ Consumer Confidence has lifted strongly since National won a second term in office at the 2011 NZ Election. Consumer Confidence in December 2011, immediately after the election, was 108.4.ANZ-Roy Morgan New Zealand Consumer Confidence July – 132.7. Auckland Electorates the most confident in New Zealand – led by Auckland Central, North Shore, Epsom, Mt. Roskill, East Coast Bays, Pakuranga & Hunua
ANZ-Roy Morgan NZ Consumer Confidence has lifted strongly since National won a second term in office at the 2011 NZ Election. Consumer Confidence in December 2011, immediately after the election, was 108.4. It has increased by 24.3pts (+22.4%) since then. This is a very positive sign for PM John Key and the National-led Government heading into the NZ Election.
Analysing ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence by electorate over the period since the last NZ Election (since December 2011) shows an average since the last election for New Zealand as a whole of 116.2. The most confident NZ Electorates are all clustered around Auckland – led by Auckland Central (124.9), North Shore (123.9), the sole Act NZ electorate of Epsom (123.5), the electorate of former Labour Party Leader Phil Goff – Mt. Rosklll (123.1), the electorate Conservative Party Leader Colin Craig has announced his intention to stand in – East Coast Bays (123.1), Pakuranga (123.0) and Hanua (122.1).
In terms of the current leaders – confidence has been highest in United Future Leader Peter Dunne’s electorate of Ohariu (119.6), while confidence has been very similar in Labour Leader David Cunliffe’s electorate of New Lynn (117.7) and PM John Key’s electorate of Helensville (117.4).
In contrast, confidence has been the lowest in the two northernmost New Zealand electorates of Northland (107.2, the lowest in the country) and Whangarei (110.0) while also being consistently low in the South Island Labour electorates of West Coast-Tasman (107.7) and Dunedin South (107.2).
NEW ZEALAND ELECTORATES (64) & MAORI ELECTORATES (7)
|Auckland Central – 124.9||Christchurch Central – 118.6||Tauranga – 114.6||Whanganui – 111.5|
|North Shore – 123.9||Wigram – 118.5||Rangitikei – 114.1||Kelston – 111.0|
|Epsom – 123.5||Mt. Albert – 118.1||Coromandel – 114.0||Wairarapa – 110.6|
|Mt. Roskill – 123.1||Port Hills – 118.0||Hutt South – 113.9||Otaki – 110.2|
|East Coast Bays – 123.1||Waimakariri – 117.8||Te Atatu – 113.8||Whangarei – 110.0|
|Pakuranga – 123.0||Hamilton West – 117.7||Mana – 113.8||West Coast-Tasman – 107.7|
|Hunua – 122.1||New Lynn – 117.7||Bay of Plenty – 113.7||Dunedin South – 107.2|
|Papakura – 121.3||Taranaki-King County – 117.5||Mangere – 113.7||Northland – 107.2|
|Tamaki – 121.3||Helensville – 117.4||Manukau East – 113.6|
|Ilam – 121.2||Maungakiekie – 117.3||Tukituki – 113.3|
|Botany – 120.7||Northcote – 117.2||Waitaki – 112.8|
|Selwyn – 120.6||Kaikoura – 116.9||East Coast – 112.8||MAORI ELECTORATES (7)|
|Upper Harbour – 120.5||Waikato – 116.3||Taupo – 112.6||Hauraki-Waikato – 118.4|
|Wellington Central – 120.4||NZ Consumer Confidence – 116.2||Rimutaka – 112.6||Tamaki Makaurau – 118.2|
|Clutha-Southland – 120.1||Rotorua – 116.1||Dunedin North – 112.5||Te Tai Tokerau – 117.4|
|Ohariu – 119.6||Rangitata – 115.8||Rongotai – 112.5||Te Tai Tonga – 115.8|
|New Plymouth – 119.3||Palmerston North – 115.4||Christchurch East – 112.0||Te Tai Hanuauru – 114.5|
|Rodney – 119.3||Nelson – 115.3||Napier – 111.8||Waiariki – 113.9|
|Hamilton East – 119.1||Manurewa – 115.0||Invercargill – 111.5||Ikaroa-RawhitI – 112.5|
These ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence figures are based on interviews with 66,715 New Zealanders aged 14+ between December 2011 and April 2014. The Maori electorates are not represented in the NZ Electorate Map.
Electorate Colour Code for Parties
|National||Labour||Maori Party||New Seats|
|ACT NZ||United Future||Mana Party|
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Roy Morgan New Zealand Election 2014 Interactive Charts
These interactive charts allow a deeper look at voting patterns in New Zealand over varying timeframes and provide election observers with the ability to pinpoint key turning points for the political parties.
In future weeks we will be adding key demographic variables to the charts including Age, Gender and Regional breakdowns to show which way key demographics are voting and which demographics each party needs to target to maximise their vote at this year’s New Zealand Election – called for September 20, 2014. View interactive New Zealand Election charts here.
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